Unrestricted In Efficiency

Sunday, October 01, 2006

Trend7

For about a year now, I have been getting Emails from website known as Trend7 asking me to subscribe to their stock picking service. Well, I recently took them up on their 14-day free trial offer, but I haven't really subscribed. Unfortunately, Trend7's investment results are uninspiring, to say the least. They currently have 8 stock picks. Of these stock picks, 7 have lost money to date and there is only one winning trade in the bunch. Their only winning investment happens to be a short stock pick.

Looking through the historical performance of the Trend7 picks, one recent trade stands out to me. On 8/18/2006, Trend7 recommend the purchase of September $39 strike QQQQ put options. These options expired worthless on 9/15/2006 resulting in a $10,020 loss for Trend7 subscribers.

Gee, I'm not going to spend $99 per month for a stock picking service that shows me how to lose $10,020 in 4 weeks. What is probably most ironic to me is that I have been essentially on the opposite side of this trade. I have recommended the purchase of the underlying QQQQ (Nasdaq-100 tracking stock) on 8/18/06, at exactly the same time that Trend7 recommended to buy put options. I am now up about 5% on my investment while Trend7 is down 100% on theirs.

Besides their abysmal performance, I don't think that Trend7 is suited to most investors. On average, they make 1-2 stock recommendations each day. So far this year, they've suggested nearly 300 stock trades. While they claimed to have made money, I have neither the time nor the energy to examine 300 data points to find discrepancies. When you choose 300 different investment positions, you're bound to have a few good winners, but I also saw a lot of losing trades in their list.

My bottom line is that I don't need a new stock idea every day. What I need is about 4-7 good, thoroughly researched stock picks a year. I guess that Trend7 goes for quantity over quality in their stock picks. In any case, it doesn't look like I will be continuing my Trend7 subscription beyond its 14-day free trial.

P.S. One more note: I'm going to give another plug here for PFStock, my favorite personal finance and stock investing blog.

1 Comments:

  • dont for get to cancel your trend7 subscription.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 6:55 PM  

Post a Comment

<< Home